Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.449839 0.493043 0.539294 0.592610 0.652525 0.717943 0.795002
2026-02-01 0.371772 0.430389 0.497510 0.580551 0.681211 0.800147 0.952600
2026-02-08 0.332243 0.399095 0.479242 0.583410 0.716694 0.883532 1.111399
2026-02-15 0.300601 0.371556 0.459723 0.578887 0.738151 0.947191 1.248312
2026-02-22 0.278625 0.352899 0.448077 0.581172 0.766040 1.019232 1.402143
2026-03-01 0.257129 0.332410 0.431418 0.573954 0.778636 1.069613 1.529172
2026-03-08 0.238339 0.313689 0.415081 0.564866 0.786484 1.112396 1.648146
2026-03-15 0.219317 0.293072 0.394266 0.547113 0.779198 1.130793 1.729676
2026-03-22 0.211508 0.287370 0.393702 0.558303 0.815580 1.218640 1.933713
2026-03-29 0.203810 0.281163 0.391741 0.566866 0.848135 1.303040 2.142345
2026-04-05 0.195572 0.273543 0.387014 0.570513 0.872721 1.376229 2.340274
2026-04-12 0.187650 0.265832 0.381515 0.572286 0.893995 1.445387 2.539554
2026-04-19 0.180906 0.259611 0.378054 0.577322 0.921678 1.529564 2.782276
2026-04-26 0.170806 0.247698 0.365012 0.565641 0.919408 1.559439 2.921043
2026-05-03 0.164760 0.241697 0.360868 0.568411 0.942700 1.638864 3.174623
2026-05-10 0.157695 0.233678 0.352949 0.564030 0.952414 1.692995 3.381591
2026-05-17 0.152511 0.228353 0.349048 0.566243 0.974341 1.773192 3.659947
2026-05-24 0.145923 0.220413 0.340344 0.559251 0.978028 1.816583 3.859083
2026-05-31 0.139462 0.212366 0.331010 0.550447 0.977346 1.850614 4.040928
2026-06-07 0.131925 0.202202 0.317570 0.533245 0.958614 1.844132 4.119772
2026-06-14 0.129762 0.200883 0.319205 0.544088 0.997150 1.966528 4.555190
2026-06-21 0.127273 0.198880 0.319511 0.552385 1.031122 2.082709 4.997628
2026-06-28 0.124148 0.195635 0.317435 0.555918 1.055321 2.179188 5.404805